Helicon and the price of future AVAX — research data
Research date: 9 September 2026. Observations: 5 January 2020–6 September 2026.

The selected ten-token sample contains 705 monthly price observations and 704
reported circulating-supply observations. No pre-launch prices are filled in.
Each monthly row retains its public source URL and timestamps. SOL's May 2020
circulation is missing. Returns exclude staking rewards. Policy ceilings in
historical correlations cover BTC, AVAX, ADA and SUI only; APT's approved cap
and DOT's 2026 cap are excluded from constant-policy historical tests.
Circulation is a provider classification, not measured net issuance or selling.

Unzip the reproduction bundle in a new directory. With Python 3, numpy and
pandas installed, run: python3 analyze.py
It reads snapshots.json and writes the tables, analysis.json and validation.json
alongside it. The script checks coverage and numerical consistency. It does
not make causal claims or infer statistical significance from overlapping rows.

Starting dates were explored during the research. The sample is selected,
contains surviving tokens, and does not identify the causal effect of Helicon.
All observations precede its announced mainnet activation.
